Timothy Peterson
@nsquaredvalue
B
67.4 / 100
Last researched 20 Jul 2026, 04:17 UTC
Timothy Peterson exhibits a bifurcated track record. His Lowest Price Forward (LPF) model proves highly effective at identifying structural macro bottoms and absolute price floors. However, his models suffer from bull-market over-extrapolation, leading to a series of failed short-term targets, timing-specific estimates, and highly over-optimistic peak predictions.
Calls found
16
Resolved calls
15
Is this rating fair?
No votes yet. Be the first.
Embed this rating
Put this badge on your site or bio to show your current rating.
Calls (16)
Bitcoin would reach $100,000 by January 2024, and $1,000,000 by March 2028.
Bitcoin traded between $38,500 and $49,000 in January 2024, failing to reach the $100,000 target by that date.
ForkLog article citing Peterson's January 3, 2019 Genesis report
Predicted with a 90% probability that on November 30, 2020, Bitcoin's price would be at or above $12,000.
Bitcoin closed on November 30, 2020 at $19,625, easily clearing the target.
ForkLog article
There is a 90% chance that Bitcoin will never again close below $11k.
Bitcoin's daily close has never fallen below $11,000 since this call, even at the absolute bottom of the 2022 bear market.
X Post via @nsquaredcrypto
Warned the market was severely overvalued and projected a bottom of $32,000 in 14 months (July 2022).
The directional warning of a bear market was correct, but Bitcoin eventually broke below the $32,000 target to bottom near $15,500.
Strefa Inwestorów interview / X Post via @nsquaredcrypto
Advised buying ETH, LINK, and DOT for the long term while dismissing Polygon (MATIC) as a short-term trend that people would stop talking about in two years.
His skepticism of MATIC was correct and ETH remained dominant, but DOT and LINK severely underperformed BTC over the period.
Strefa Inwestorów Interview
Noted Bitcoin remained below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) for 17 consecutive days, marking the end of a bull run and the start of a bear market.
Bitcoin subsequently entered a major capitulation phase, falling from $42,000 down to $15,500.
X Post via @nsquaredcrypto
Predicted a 50% probability that Bitcoin would be cheaper than $25,000 in September as a final flush.
Bitcoin hit a local wick low of $24,900 on September 11, 2023.
Cane Island Alternative Advisors Report / X Post
There's a 90% chance Bitcoin will reach a new ATH before March 2025.
Bitcoin broke its prior ATH in late 2024, peaking at $108,268 in December 2024.
X Post via @nsquaredvalue / CryptoRank
Predicted that the launch of spot Ethereum ETFs would drive the price of ETH to $6,000 by March 2025.
ETH traded around $1,823 in March 2025 and only reached a peak of ~$4,950 during its subsequent cycle high.
Reddit r/ethtrader, citing Coinpedia
Asserted his LPF model indicated a new structural floor of $69,000 with a 95% chance of holding.
Bitcoin broke below $69,000 in early 2026, falling to $60,000.
X Post via @nsquaredvalue / TradingView
Stipulated a median target of $126,000 for Bitcoin with a hard deadline of June 1, 2025.
Bitcoin traded in the $90,000–$100,000 range in June 2025 and did not hit $126,000 until October 2025.
X Post via @nsquaredvalue / TradingView
Estimated a 50% probability that Bitcoin could reach a new all-time high of $200,000 by June 2026.
Bitcoin topped at $126,000 in October 2025 and was trading near $60,000 by June 2026.
X Post via @nsquaredvalue / Holder.io
Modeled a 50% probability that BTC could end October 2025 above $140,000.
Bitcoin peaked at $126,000 in October 2025 and reversed downward, failing to reach the target.
X Post via @nsquaredvalue / Bitget News
Estimated that it would take 10 to 14 weeks (pointing to March 2026) for Bitcoin to reclaim its ATH of $126k.
Bitcoin failed to reclaim its ATH, instead sliding further to $60,074 by March 2026.
X Post via @nsquaredvalue
Predicted January 2026 would average a +15% gain based on seasonal patterns, kickstarting an April-June recovery.
January 2026 continued the downtrend, but his timing model for stabilization and recovery in Q2 2026 proved relatively accurate.
Binance Square analysis of Peterson's seasonal chart
Observed an 88% chance that Bitcoin will be higher 10 months from now (December 2026) with an average expected price of $122,000.
X Post via @nsquaredvalue
Community comments
Comment Rankings
1. Post about this rating on X. Keep the link in your post when you send it.
2. Come back and paste your post's URL below. It's only shown here once confirmed to actually link back to this page.
No verified comments yet.