Rekt Capital
@rektcapital
A
78.3 / 100
Last researched 20 Jul 2026, 04:27 UTC
Rekt Capital is a pseudonymous analyst heavily anchored in Bitcoin's four-year halving cycles. While this rigid historical bias caused them to miss major structural shifts in 2023 due to institutional ETF inflows, their disciplined adherence to cycle peaks successfully anticipated the 2025 top and subsequent 2026 bear market. They are highly effective at macro-timing, though prone to missing short-term fundamental catalysts.
Calls found
17
Resolved calls
16
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Calls (17)
Predicted Litecoin would experience a strong pre-halving rally but top early around May 2023, followed by a sharp post-halving drop (-73% to -83%) and a year-long consolidation.
LTC did rally and then crashed 50% post-halving into a year-long consolidation, though it topped in July instead of May and the drop was less severe than the -80% historical projection.
Argued in newsletter updates that BTC was on the verge of a protracted mid-term downward extension.
BTC was at $25k-$26k but immediately reversed and surged past $30k following BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF filing three days later.
Rekt Capital Newsletter (Substack): More Downside To Come For Bitcoin?
Predicted a severe -30% correction to roughly $20,000 based on 2015 and 2019 pre-halving fractals, warning of a potential double top at $32,000.
BTC was at $28,500 and immediately broke out, clearing $30,000 in October and ending December above $42,000 without ever returning to $20,000.
Warned of extreme downside to $30 if Solana failed to flip the $42.86 resistance into support.
SOL blew straight past the $42.86 resistance and rocketed over $120 by December 2023.
Predicted that reclaiming and holding the top boundary of its range as support would confirm a new macro uptrend.
ADA successfully held the level and launched a macro push that peaked above $0.80 by March 2024.
Coin Edition: The Rekt Capital Report: Top 6 Altcoins to Watch in 2024
Claimed the 18% pullback in January 2024 was a bargain-buying window and predicted a strong pre-halving rally in February.
BTC bottomed around $38,500 in late January and rallied aggressively through February to over $60,000.
Identified an ascending triangle and predicted a rally to breach the $123 resistance level upon reclaiming the triangle top.
SOL held the pattern top and rallied quickly past $123, peaking over $200 in March 2024.
Warned BTC was entering a pre-halving 'Danger Zone' where a retracement of roughly 20% would occur, despite ETF inflows.
BTC fell from $73,794 to a late-March low of $60,770 (~18% drop) and bottomed around $56,500 in May (~23% drop).
Predicted Solana had flipped $180 resistance into support and was poised to rally to $202.
SOL failed to hold momentum, peaking at $185 before crashing to the $110-$120 range during the August 5 market liquidation.
Finbold: Here are Solana's key support and resistance levels to watch
Predicted a post-halving breakout would occur in October 2024, ending the consolidation phase.
BTC consolidated through September and broke out strongly in October 2024, heading towards $96,000 in November.
CoinGape: Why Bitcoin Price May Breakout In October 2024
Predicted ADA must hold above $0.72 to flip the former supply zone into support and sustain its macro uptrend.
ADA held above $0.72, establishing support at $0.78 before continuing to near $1.00.
Binance Square / TheNewsCrypto: Cardano's Critical Support Level...
Predicted the 4-year cycle remained intact, calling for a late 2025 peak and a severe bear market in 2026.
BTC peaked in October 2025 at $126,198 and entered a brutal bear market in 2026, dropping over 50%.
Predicted that holding the $0.22 level on the weekly chart would lead to a rally targeting $0.27.
DOGE successfully retested $0.22 as support and rallied to a peak of $0.288 in September 2025.
The Crypto Basic: Dogecoin Breaks Above Pre-Halving Resistance, Targets $0.27...
Predicted Ethereum Dominance holding the 9% level would trigger a significant ETH rally and altcoin season in June 2025.
The support level held, and ETH rallied 70% from ~$2,600 to over $4,470 by August 2025, triggering a summer altcoin run.
Warned that a monthly close below its multi-year ascending support line would lead to a major structural breakdown.
ETH closed February below $2,000, breaking support, and plummeted to $1,880 by June 2026.
NewsBTC: Ethereum's Fate Hangs On This Multi-Year Support...
Warned of a 2022-like correction if SOL registered monthly closes below $123.28 and $99.06.
SOL failed to hold these support levels and fell into the $77-$84 range by July 2026.
Predicted Bitcoin has not bottomed yet and mapped out a base-case bear market bottom of sub-$50,000 in Q4 2026.
Currently too early to evaluate as of July 2026; BTC is trading around $64,000-$69,000.
YouTube: Rekt Capital: Bitcoin Has Not Bottomed Yet. Here Is Exactly When It Will...
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