Peter Brandt 875.8K followers

@PeterLBrandt
A
70.9 / 100
Last researched 19 Jul 2026, 23:35 UTC

Peter Brandt is a veteran classical chartist whose methodology heavily weights historical geometric patterns and parabolic trendlines. While he successfully predicted major cyclical pivot points like the 2018 bear market bottom, his strict adherence to an 80% retracement rule has led to significant whipsaws. He frequently shifts between highly aggressive bullish targets and deep capitulation forecasts, often calling for further downside at or near macro generational bottoms.

Calls found
19
Resolved calls
16
Accuracy
53
Sample size
93
Verifiability
78
Specificity
63
Consistency
100

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Peter Brandt rating

Calls (19)

22 Jan 2018 bearish correct verified target: 4000
Bitcoin violated its parabolic advance trendline, suggesting an ~80% retracement aiming for a decline below $4,000.
Bitcoin entered a prolonged bear market and bottomed at $3,122 in December 2018, representing an ~84% correction.
Peter Brandt's Twitter account (@PeterLBrandt)
1 Apr 2019 bullish correct reported target: 50000
Predicted Bitcoin entered its fourth parabolic bull phase and was on track to exceed $50,000 within the next two years.
Bitcoin broke out to hit $50,000 in February 2021, peaking near $64,800 in April 2021.
Interview on Yahoo Finance YFi PM
1 Jun 2019 bearish correct reported
Warned that his 'Obnoxious Twitter Millennial Index' showed extreme FOMO, advising traders to take profits.
Bitcoin topped at $13,880 on June 26, 2019, and entered a multi-month decline back to $6,500.
Independent Reserve market update / Peter Brandt Twitter
12 Mar 2020 bearish incorrect reported
Took a heavily bearish stance during the COVID liquidity crash, stating he exited positions and that chart structures were broken.
The sub-$4,000 price point during this panic marked the absolute cyclical bottom before an explosive bull market.
Twitter / Reddit r/Bitcoin threads
18 Apr 2021 bearish correct verified
Warned that the viral social media 'laser eyes' trend was a contrary sentiment indicator signaling a correction.
Days later Bitcoin plummeted from its $64,800 peak down to approximately $30,000 in May 2021.
Peter Brandt Twitter / Daily Hodl
1 Jun 2021 bearish incorrect reported target: 26000
Identified a potential Head and Shoulders topping pattern, suggesting a drop further toward $26,000 if completed.
The pattern failed to resolve bearishly; Bitcoin defended $29,000-$30,000 and rose to $69,000 by November 2021.
Crypto Briefing, 'Bitcoin Could Crash Further'
7 Jan 2022 bearish correct reported
Pointed out that Bitcoin decisively violated its parabolic advance trendline from the 2020-2021 cycle.
Bitcoin, trading around $41,600, entered a prolonged bear market that bottomed at $15,473 in November 2022.
The Daily Hodl, 'Trader Who Called Bitcoin's 2018 Collapse Warns...'
15 Jun 2022 bearish partially correct reported target: 13000
Predicted Bitcoin would drop to approximately $13,000 based on a double-top pattern.
Bitcoin bottomed at $15,473 in November 2022, which was within 15% of his downside target.
George Georgiev, 'Bitcoin Price May Soon Plunge to $13K...'
14 Dec 2022 bearish incorrect reported target: 13000
Stated that the macro trend remained down and predicted one more capitulation washout to $13,000.
The macro bottom of $15,473 had already occurred in November 2022, and the market climbed steadily through 2023.
Tone Vays YouTube Strategy Session
26 Feb 2024 bullish incorrect verified target: 200000
Following a channel breakout, upgraded his late 2025 cycle target from $120,000 to $200,000.
While Bitcoin surged in 2024-2025, it peaked near $126,198 in October 2025, failing to hit the $200,000 target.
Factor LLC / Peter Brandt Twitter
26 Apr 2024 bearish incorrect reported target: 35000
Invoked 'Exponential Decay' to argue a 25% chance that Bitcoin had already topped at $73,835, warning of a crash to mid-$30k.
Bitcoin did not top at $73,835 and never returned to the $30k range, eventually rallying to $126,198 in October 2025.
Peter Brandt Public Blog, 'Does history make a case that Bitcoin has topped?'
1 May 2025 bullish correct reported target: 125000-150000
Predicted Bitcoin would target a cyclical peak between $125,000 and $150,000 around August/September 2025 if it regained its parabolic curve.
Bitcoin peaked at $126,198 on October 6, 2025, hitting the lower bound of his target window.
Binance / U.Today Reports, 'Bitcoin targets $150,000 in Q3 2025...'
22 Oct 2025 bearish correct reported
Warned that Bitcoin's chart mirrored the 1970s soybean bubble immediately prior to a 50% collapse.
Bitcoin topped around $126k earlier in the month and rapidly declined by over 30% into the mid-$80,000s by November.
Bitbo, 'Peter Brandt Warns BTC Echoes 1970s Soybean Bubble...'
14 Dec 2025 bearish incorrect reported target: 25240
Declared the parabolic trendline broken, projecting a technical downside target of $25,240 based on typical 80% drawdowns.
Bitcoin never crashed to $25k; institutional ETF flows helped establish a solid cycle floor near $59,000-$60,000.
FXStreet / Yellow.com, 'Historic Pattern Points To $25K Bitcoin...'
5 Feb 2026 bearish incorrect reported target: 42000
Warning of institutional 'campaign selling' and predicting a fast crash down to $42,000.
This call marked the exact local bottom range; Bitcoin bottomed at $59,957 in February and rebounded above $80,000.
ForkLog, 'Peter Brandt says bitcoin's slide is a planned campaign...'
23 Apr 2026 bullish pending reported target: 300000-500000
Predicted a final cycle low in late 2026 followed by a macro bull market peaking between $300,000 and $500,000 in late 2029.
Currently unfolding; the target year is 2029.
Finance Magnates, 'Can Bitcoin Hit $500K? Peter Brandt's Bitcoin Price Prediction...'
30 May 2026 bullish unclear reported
Expressed a qualitative preference for XRP, followed by Solana and Ethereum, as the best choices to become transactional.
This is a qualitative preference and long-term outlook that is currently unfolding.
Crypto Banter Interview with Ran Neuner
17 Jul 2026 neutral pending verified target: 40000
Predicted a short-term $10,000 bounce to ~$70k-$74k followed by a deeper decline to $40,000 by early October 2026.
Currently unfolding in mid-2026.
Cointelegraph 'Trade Secrets Show' / KuCoin reports
Undated bullish correct verified
Identified a pattern indicating that if XRP broke its 2021 resistance near $1.96, it would see aggressive expansion.
XRP broke through $1.96 in late 2024 and staged a parabolic rally to $3.39 by January 2025.
Bitget News / Peter Brandt Twitter

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