Calls (19)
22 Jan 2018
bearish
correct
verified
target: 4000
Bitcoin violated its parabolic advance trendline, suggesting an ~80% retracement aiming for a decline below $4,000.
Bitcoin entered a prolonged bear market and bottomed at $3,122 in December 2018, representing an ~84% correction.
Peter Brandt's Twitter account (@PeterLBrandt)
1 Apr 2019
bullish
correct
reported
target: 50000
Predicted Bitcoin entered its fourth parabolic bull phase and was on track to exceed $50,000 within the next two years.
Bitcoin broke out to hit $50,000 in February 2021, peaking near $64,800 in April 2021.
Interview on Yahoo Finance YFi PM
1 Jun 2019
bearish
correct
reported
Warned that his 'Obnoxious Twitter Millennial Index' showed extreme FOMO, advising traders to take profits.
Bitcoin topped at $13,880 on June 26, 2019, and entered a multi-month decline back to $6,500.
Independent Reserve market update / Peter Brandt Twitter
12 Mar 2020
bearish
incorrect
reported
Took a heavily bearish stance during the COVID liquidity crash, stating he exited positions and that chart structures were broken.
The sub-$4,000 price point during this panic marked the absolute cyclical bottom before an explosive bull market.
Twitter / Reddit r/Bitcoin threads
18 Apr 2021
bearish
correct
verified
Warned that the viral social media 'laser eyes' trend was a contrary sentiment indicator signaling a correction.
Days later Bitcoin plummeted from its $64,800 peak down to approximately $30,000 in May 2021.
Peter Brandt Twitter / Daily Hodl
1 Jun 2021
bearish
incorrect
reported
target: 26000
Identified a potential Head and Shoulders topping pattern, suggesting a drop further toward $26,000 if completed.
The pattern failed to resolve bearishly; Bitcoin defended $29,000-$30,000 and rose to $69,000 by November 2021.
Crypto Briefing, 'Bitcoin Could Crash Further'
7 Jan 2022
bearish
correct
reported
Pointed out that Bitcoin decisively violated its parabolic advance trendline from the 2020-2021 cycle.
Bitcoin, trading around $41,600, entered a prolonged bear market that bottomed at $15,473 in November 2022.
The Daily Hodl, 'Trader Who Called Bitcoin's 2018 Collapse Warns...'
15 Jun 2022
bearish
partially correct
reported
target: 13000
Predicted Bitcoin would drop to approximately $13,000 based on a double-top pattern.
Bitcoin bottomed at $15,473 in November 2022, which was within 15% of his downside target.
George Georgiev, 'Bitcoin Price May Soon Plunge to $13K...'
14 Dec 2022
bearish
incorrect
reported
target: 13000
Stated that the macro trend remained down and predicted one more capitulation washout to $13,000.
The macro bottom of $15,473 had already occurred in November 2022, and the market climbed steadily through 2023.
Tone Vays YouTube Strategy Session
26 Feb 2024
bullish
incorrect
verified
target: 200000
Following a channel breakout, upgraded his late 2025 cycle target from $120,000 to $200,000.
While Bitcoin surged in 2024-2025, it peaked near $126,198 in October 2025, failing to hit the $200,000 target.
Factor LLC / Peter Brandt Twitter
26 Apr 2024
bearish
incorrect
reported
target: 35000
Invoked 'Exponential Decay' to argue a 25% chance that Bitcoin had already topped at $73,835, warning of a crash to mid-$30k.
Bitcoin did not top at $73,835 and never returned to the $30k range, eventually rallying to $126,198 in October 2025.
Peter Brandt Public Blog, 'Does history make a case that Bitcoin has topped?'
1 May 2025
bullish
correct
reported
target: 125000-150000
Predicted Bitcoin would target a cyclical peak between $125,000 and $150,000 around August/September 2025 if it regained its parabolic curve.
Bitcoin peaked at $126,198 on October 6, 2025, hitting the lower bound of his target window.
Binance / U.Today Reports, 'Bitcoin targets $150,000 in Q3 2025...'
22 Oct 2025
bearish
correct
reported
Warned that Bitcoin's chart mirrored the 1970s soybean bubble immediately prior to a 50% collapse.
Bitcoin topped around $126k earlier in the month and rapidly declined by over 30% into the mid-$80,000s by November.
Bitbo, 'Peter Brandt Warns BTC Echoes 1970s Soybean Bubble...'
14 Dec 2025
bearish
incorrect
reported
target: 25240
Declared the parabolic trendline broken, projecting a technical downside target of $25,240 based on typical 80% drawdowns.
Bitcoin never crashed to $25k; institutional ETF flows helped establish a solid cycle floor near $59,000-$60,000.
FXStreet / Yellow.com, 'Historic Pattern Points To $25K Bitcoin...'
5 Feb 2026
bearish
incorrect
reported
target: 42000
Warning of institutional 'campaign selling' and predicting a fast crash down to $42,000.
This call marked the exact local bottom range; Bitcoin bottomed at $59,957 in February and rebounded above $80,000.
ForkLog, 'Peter Brandt says bitcoin's slide is a planned campaign...'
23 Apr 2026
bullish
pending
reported
target: 300000-500000
Predicted a final cycle low in late 2026 followed by a macro bull market peaking between $300,000 and $500,000 in late 2029.
Currently unfolding; the target year is 2029.
Finance Magnates, 'Can Bitcoin Hit $500K? Peter Brandt's Bitcoin Price Prediction...'
30 May 2026
bullish
unclear
reported
Expressed a qualitative preference for XRP, followed by Solana and Ethereum, as the best choices to become transactional.
This is a qualitative preference and long-term outlook that is currently unfolding.
Crypto Banter Interview with Ran Neuner
17 Jul 2026
neutral
pending
verified
target: 40000
Predicted a short-term $10,000 bounce to ~$70k-$74k followed by a deeper decline to $40,000 by early October 2026.
Currently unfolding in mid-2026.
Cointelegraph 'Trade Secrets Show' / KuCoin reports
Undated
bullish
correct
verified
Identified a pattern indicating that if XRP broke its 2021 resistance near $1.96, it would see aggressive expansion.
XRP broke through $1.96 in late 2024 and staged a parabolic rally to $3.39 by January 2025.
Bitget News / Peter Brandt Twitter