Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
A
78.4 / 100
Last researched 20 Jul 2026, 04:29 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe displays strong technical proficiency in identifying short-to-medium term horizontal support levels, local correction floors, and conditional breakout boundaries. However, his macro-level forecasts exhibit a persistent, extreme bullish bias, leading him to consistently overshoot cycle tops and miscalculate capital rotation dynamics. While his tactical range charts are highly reliable, his long-term price targets are historically prone to severe model failure.
Calls found
24
Resolved calls
23
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Calls (24)
Predicted Bitcoin would consolidate early in 2021, grind until April/May, and then reach a 2021-end target range of $65,000 to $85,000, with the actual cycle peak in 2022/2023 at $200,000 to $300,000.
Correctly identified the 2021-end absolute range target as BTC hit $69,000, but his macro thesis regarding cycle extension and the $200k–$300k target was wildly incorrect.
The Daily Hodl (January 2, 2021) — "Crypto Analyst Michaël van de Poppe Unveils Bitcoin Price Outlook for 2021..."
Predicted that XRP would heavily underperform the broader market during the 2021 bull run due to regulatory headwinds.
XRP structurally underperformed almost all major Layer-1 competitors in cycle-relative returns.
The Daily Hodl (January 2, 2021) — "Crypto Analyst Michaël van de Poppe Unveils Bitcoin Price Outlook for 2021..."
Forecasted a cycle peak of $350,000 to $450,000 for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin's cycle peak was established at $69,000 in November 2021, making this an extreme overshoot.
CryptoVantage (January 31, 2025 archive) — "Is $100,000 Bitcoin Still Possible..."
Forecasted an Ethereum cycle peak target between $10,000 and $17,000.
Ethereum peaked at $4,891 in November 2021 before entering a deep correction that saw it drop below $1,000 in 2022.
CryptoVantage (January 31, 2025 archive) — "Is $100,000 Bitcoin Still Possible..."
Predicted a relief rally on Bitcoin that would target $42,313 and $50,324 by June 2023 (Q2 2023).
He identified the macro bottom and forecasted an upward trend, but the target was not hit until December 2023 / February 2024.
Cryptonews.net / X (December 5, 2022) — "Top Analyst Forecasts Massive 2023 Bitcoin Rally..."
Stated that if Bitcoin lost its immediate support levels, a corrective move would push it down to test the $19,700 liquidity block.
Bitcoin bottomed exactly at $19,628 on March 10, 2023, before recovery.
Investing.com (March 5, 2023) — "Michael Van De Poppe Predicts Possible $19.7K Drop For Bitcoin"
Predicted that as long as WLD held above crucial support at $2.32, it would break $2.50 and make new local highs.
WLD broke horizontal support of $2.32 almost immediately and collapsed to ~$1.02, invalidating the trade parameters.
Coin Edition (August 2, 2023) — "WLD Could Climb To $2.50 Soon..."
Called for an "Uptober" rally, predicting a Bitcoin target of $40,000 by the end of Q4 2023.
Bitcoin broke out forcefully, crossing $40,000 on December 3, 2023, and peaking near $44,700 by late December.
Investing.com (October 1, 2023) — "Crypto Analyst Predicts Bitcoin to Reach $40K in Q4 2023"
Predicted that Ethereum (ETH) would target $3,000 by Q1 2024 as capital rotated to altcoins ahead of the Bitcoin halving.
Ethereum broke $3,000 in mid-February 2024 and went on to peak at $4,090 in March 2024.
Crypto News Australia (December 8, 2023) — "Ethereum Gaining Traction as Altcoins Start to Blast Off"
Argued that the approval of Spot Bitcoin ETFs would trigger a capital rotation into Ethereum, pushing the ETH/BTC ratio up 100% from ~0.05 to a target of ~0.12.
The rotation never materialized; the ETH/BTC ratio entered a structural decline, falling to ~0.035 by end of 2024 and 0.026 in 2026.
The Blockopedia on Binance Square (January 12, 2024) — "Ethereum Price Prediction: Analyst Predicts 100% Rise Against Bitcoin"
Forecasted that post-ETF launch profit-taking would pull Bitcoin down to test support in the $37,000 to $40,000 range.
Bitcoin dropped post-ETF, bottoming at $38,500 on January 23, 2024.
MQL5 / Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast (January 20, 2024)
Predicted that after the Bitcoin halving, the market would return to 'normal price levels' and enter 'screwy,' highly frustrating range-bound consolidation.
Bitcoin entered a grueling, flat, six-month range-bound consolidation primarily between $59,000 and $72,000.
Cointelegraph (April 3, 2024) — "Bitcoin headed for 'screwy price action' after 64% surge..."
Predicted that Bitcoin's growth cycle would be prolonged, stretching all the way into 2026.
Correctly identified that the bull market would run hot through late 2025, but the market topped out and entered a heavy bear market correction in 2026 rather than extending further.
CryptoRank (November 14, 2024) — "Bitcoin Gears Up for Major Transformation with OP_CAT..."
Forecasted that the Ethereum bull market, despite deep consolidation, would resume late in Q4 2024 and run strongly into 2025.
Ethereum staged a major expansion throughout the first half of 2025, peaking at ~$4,954 in August 2025.
BeInCrypto via Reddit r/ethtrader (December 12, 2024)
Outlined macro price targets for ETH in 2025: Bear ($5k–$7.5k), Neutral (~$10k), and Bull ($12.5k–$15k).
Ethereum's 2025 bull run topped out at $4,954 in August 2025, failing to reach even his absolute 'bear case' target of $5,000.
Benzinga (January 6, 2025) — "Ethereum Climbs 12% In A Week: Could It Outperform In 2025?"
Warned of a highly volatile 1-2 week period during tariff panics where Bitcoin would test local lows as deep as $70,000.
Bitcoin plummeted exactly into the low $70k range before finding massive structural support and reversing.
Bitget News (April 7, 2025) — "Black Monday 2.0? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week"
Following a breakout past $110k, he predicted Bitcoin would hit $125k in July, $150k in Q3, and potentially top out at $250k in Q4 2025.
Bitcoin briefly touched $126k in October 2025, but completely missed the $150k and $250k macro targets and crashed into late 2025.
Brave New Coin (July 11, 2025) — "Bitcoin Breaks Records: Analysts Predict $250K in 2025..."
Following Ethereum's failure to make new highs, he predicted a continuation of the corrective trend down to $4,108 or $3,941 as key accumulation areas.
Ethereum slid and hit the $3,900 range in the following weeks.
Happy Coin News (August 18, 2025) — "Ethereum Price Has a High Chance of Reaching $5000 in 2025"
Warned of an impending correction but stated that any price below $121,500 was a massive, optimal buy-the-dip opportunity before Bitcoin surged toward $150,000.
This proved to be a catastrophic 'falling knife' entry as BTC collapsed from its $126k peak below $100k and eventually bottomed in the low $60ks.
Traders Union (October 6, 2025) — "Bitcoin price prediction: correction ahead with entry below $121 500..."
Identified $92,000 as crucial support, stating if it failed BTC would sweep the lows to the $78,000–$82,000 zone before quickly reversing.
He accurately identified the downside target range ($78k–$82k), but the market did not quickly reverse and instead stagnated and bled further.
The Daily Hodl (December 9, 2025) — "Bitcoin Will Surprise 'Everyone and Their Cat' in 2026..."
Forecasted a major upward breakout for Ethereum 'next week,' stating the asset was in a healthy, month-long consolidation uptrend.
Ethereum did not break out; instead, it broke downward in a severe flash-crash, sliding from ~$3,000 to under $2,000 by mid-2026.
Traders Union (January 17, 2026) — "Michael van de Poppe anticipates Ethereum breakout..."
Noted ETH/BTC breakdown, warning that staying below 0.032 BTC means no continuation, mapping 0.026 BTC as the ultimate higher-timeframe support.
The ratio stabilized exactly between 0.026 and 0.028 BTC.
Mitrade (April 27, 2026) — "Ethereum Price Faces a New Risk and Potential Dip..."
Highlighted $64,000 as the ultimate 'make-or-break' line for Bitcoin; holding would target $74,000–$79,000, while failure to hold would test new local lows.
Bitcoin failed to hold $64k and crashed to a local low near $58,000, exactly executing the conditional bearish trigger.
The Daily Hodl (June 18, 2026) — "Michaël van de Poppe Says Crucial Level Will 'Decide Everything'..."
Expected a rally on Bitcoin to $68,000 within 1-2 weeks, followed by a continuation towards $75,000–$80,000 in August, based on defending the $61,000 support level.
The defense of $61k was highly accurate, but the immediate targets of $68k and above have not yet been reached as of the report date.
Cointelegraph (July 15, 2026) — "Bitcoin gets new $80K August target: Watch these BTC price levels next"
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