Mel Mattison 49K followers
@MelMattison1
C
53.8 / 100
Last researched 19 Jul 2026, 23:28 UTC
Mel Mattison is a financial strategist and author who operates on high-level macro frameworks, focusing heavily on sovereign debt and global liquidity cycles. While he demonstrated strong predictive accuracy on the 2024 equity melt-up and the April 2025 local bottom, his subsequent calls have suffered from severe over-bullishness. He consistently underestimated the impact of late-2025 market deleveraging, leading to highly inaccurate near-term Bitcoin price targets in early 2026.
Calls found
10
Resolved calls
8
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Calls (10)
Mattison argued that massive global sovereign debt ($330+ trillion globally) and unsustainable U.S. deficit spending would push markets into a massive 'asset bubble crescendo' before an eventual collapse of the U.S. Treasury market in the 2026/2027 timeframe.
He was accurate on the immediate crescendo and asset inflation phase in 2024 and 2025, while the 2026/2027 collapse prediction remains ongoing.
Mattison predicted that despite growing structural debt issues, the S&P 500 index would charge upward and print a target of 6,000 by the end of 2024.
The S&P 500 experienced a powerful year-end rally, crossing the 6,000 threshold in November/December 2024.
Monetary Matters with Jack Farley (recorded Dec 30, 2024)
Mattison projected that the S&P 500 would suffer a violent short-term correction dropping to 4,000, before staging a massive, longer-term rally to 15,000 by late 2028. He advised investors to 'buy some puts'.
The immediate bearish drop to 4,000 in early 2025 failed to materialize, though the longer-term 15,000 target remains ongoing.
TFTC Podcast: $24,000,000 Bitcoin, $15,000 S&P and the Next Crash… | Mel Mattison
Mattison projected Bitcoin could reach $24,000,000 per coin in 20 to 30 years if adopted as a strategic reserve asset by Western central banks to counter BRICS gold-backed systems.
This is an ultra-long-term speculative macro thesis that cannot yet be evaluated.
TFTC Podcast: $24,000,000 Bitcoin, $15,000 S&P and the Next Crash… | Mel Mattison
Following a sudden market drawdown to around $78,000, Mattison explicitly declared that 'the bottom is in' and predicted a resumption of the inflationary asset bubble.
Bitcoin defended the high-$70,000 region and put in an uninterrupted rally to an all-time high of ~$126,262 in August 2025.
Mattison forecasted extreme weakness in native-born employment data and predicted the Federal Reserve would be forced into a massive dovish cycle, cutting interest rates ten times over the subsequent 12 months.
The Fed was far more conservative, cutting policy much less aggressively than the predicted ten rate cuts.
Following a massive crash on October 10 down to $101,000, Mattison argued rising volatility was a bullish signal and predicted an immediate rotation from gold to Bitcoin, launching a fresh bull market.
Bitcoin did not enter a new bull run, instead entering a prolonged consolidation and downtrend that eventually dropped to lows near $59,000 by mid-2026.
Mattison claimed that the post-crash bottom was officially in and that Bitcoin was successfully building a firm base at the $100K level for its next 50% leg higher.
The $100K support level quickly failed and Bitcoin slipped to the $85,000–$95,000 range by December 2025.
Mattison repeatedly laid out a firm target of $150,000 for Bitcoin in the first half of 2026, describing sub-$100K as the ultimate buy zone.
Bitcoin never approached $150,000 in the first half of 2026, instead bottoming near $59,000 in June 2026.
Mattison argued that the macro debasement trade is currently 'on sale' and poised to dominate the decade due to an inevitable climb to $40 trillion in U.S. national debt.
This is a long-term position realignment that is too early to evaluate.
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