Mark Yusko
@MarkYusko
B
68.1 / 100
Last researched 20 Jul 2026, 04:40 UTC
Mark Yusko shows a sharp divide between highly accurate cyclical macro calls and consistently over-optimistic USD price targets. While his models repeatedly fail to hit specific temporal targets like $500k by 2024, his cycle timing and contrarian venture-style execution (such as buying Solana at its FTX-era bottom) display institutional discipline.
Calls found
13
Resolved calls
11
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Calls (13)
Issued a long-term price target of $400,000 for Bitcoin based on it capturing gold equivalence.
Too early to fully judge, though the asset remains a fraction of this target over eight years later.
Predicted a roadmap of $25,000 by end of 2018, $75,000 by 2020, $200,000 by 2022, and $500,000 by end of 2024.
Every single milestone in the roadmap was missed by massive margins (e.g., 2018 closed at ~$3,100 instead of $25,000).
Predicted Bitcoin would top $100,000 by 2021 based on network adoption metrics.
Bitcoin experienced a massive bull run but topped out at around $69,000 in November 2021, failing to hit the $100,000 target.
Warned of a severe crypto bear market to take place in 2022, declaring the start of a formal 'Crypto Winter'.
Highly accurate cycle call; the crypto market entered a major decline in 2022 following systemic failures like FTX and LUNA.
Predicted Bitcoin would hit $250,000 within a five-year timeframe (by mid-2026).
By mid-2026, Bitcoin was trading in the high-$50,000s to low-$60,000s, far below the $250,000 target.
Initiated a heavy long position on SOL under $10 after the FTX crash and sold the majority around $260-$265 in late 2024/early 2025.
Excellent contrarian trade; captured nearly the absolute bottom and top of the Solana cycle.
Predicted Ethereum would outperform Bitcoin during the early 2024 pre-halving/ETF rally.
Bitcoin significantly outperformed Ethereum, reaching a new ATH in March 2024 while Ethereum lagged behind.
Predicted Ethereum was heading toward a $15,000 price target in the current market cycle.
Ethereum peaked at ~$4,090 in March 2024 and subsequently fell below $2,000 by mid-2026, never coming close to the target.
Predicted a post-halving parabolic surge pushing Bitcoin's price to $150,000 by the end of 2024.
Bitcoin reached over $100,000 in late 2024 but missed the $150,000 target.
Warned of Ethereum's eroding dominance, predicting L1 alternatives like Solana and Avalanche would sap its market share.
Ethereum structurally underperformed through 2025 and 2026, with key valuation ratios falling to multi-year lows.
Predicted that the market cycle would top out and a new bear market would commence by the end of 2025, lasting into 2026.
Correct timing; the crypto market topped in October 2025 and corrected deeply in 2026.
Predicted the 2026 bear market floor would reside in the high-$50,000s to low-$60,000s and bottom in Sep-Oct 2026.
In mid-2026, Bitcoin is consolidating exactly within the predicted floor range.
Stated Dogecoin has no structural utility and its value relies entirely on Musk and Cuban, claiming it would go to zero if Musk sold his holdings.
This serves as a risk advisory rather than a time-bound trade target, though Dogecoin has faced heavy drawdowns.
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