Mark Moss

@1MarkMoss
B
57.3 / 100
Last researched 20 Jul 2026, 09:35 UTC

Mark Moss is a Bitcoin/crypto investor, entrepreneur, and host of The Mark Moss Show, known for long-horizon macro price targets (liquidity cycles, M2 correlation, store-of-value adoption). His track record shows a consistent pattern: correct on broad multi-year direction, but his specific price targets have repeatedly overshot -- both his 2021 $100K call and his conditional 2024 Trump-election $300-400K call missed by a wide margin. This rating is based on a smaller, manually-researched sample than the site's usual pipeline and should be treated as provisional.

Calls found
4
Resolved calls
3
Accuracy
33
Sample size
46
Verifiability
70
Specificity
100
Consistency
100

Is this rating fair?

No votes yet. Be the first.

Embed this rating

Put this badge on your site or bio to show your current rating.

Mark Moss rating

Calls (4)

2017 bullish correct reported target: $20,000
Predicted Bitcoin would reach $20,000, citing capital flight from fiat, institutional interest, and digital scarcity.
Bitcoin reached roughly $19,000-20,000 in December 2017, matching the target.
Mark Moss Predictions: Navigating the Macro Mess — Tactical Investor
2021 bullish incorrect reported target: $100,000
Predicted Bitcoin would reach $100,000 during the 2021 cycle.
Bitcoin topped out around $69,000 in November 2021 and never reached $100,000 that cycle; a third-party retrospective flagged this as ignoring overbought/distribution warning signs.
Mark Moss Predictions: Navigating the Macro Mess — Tactical Investor
Sep 2024 bullish incorrect reported target: $300,000-$400,000
Predicted Bitcoin could surge to $300,000-$400,000 before the end of the cycle if Donald Trump won the 2024 election and enacted his crypto policies (estimated a 65% chance of a Trump win).
Trump did win the 2024 election, satisfying the stated condition, but Bitcoin's cycle peak was $126,296 (October 2025) -- well short of the $300K-$400K target.
Veteran Investor Mark Moss Predicts Bitcoin To Surge To $300K If Trump Wins — Benzinga
Feb 2025 bullish pending reported target: $1,000,000 by 2030
Predicted Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2030, citing Bitcoin's outsized sensitivity to global liquidity/M2 money supply growth versus gold.
2030 has not arrived yet; outcome cannot be assessed.
Mark Moss Predicts Bitcoin Could Hit $1 Million by 2030 — Phemex News

Community comments

Comment Rankings

1. Post about this rating on X. Keep the link in your post when you send it.
2. Come back and paste your post's URL below. It's only shown here once confirmed to actually link back to this page.

No verified comments yet.