il Capo of Crypto
@CryptoCapo_
B
64.7 / 100
Last researched 20 Jul 2026, 04:25 UTC
CryptoCapo is a highly polarized pseudonymous analyst known for utilizing Elliott Wave and Wyckoff methodologies to call local market reversals and support levels. While he achieved widespread recognition for accurately timing key macro pivots in 2020 and early 2022, his reputation was severely impacted by a dogmatic bearish bias throughout the 2023-2024 market recovery, during which he maintained heavily underwater short positions. His track record demonstrates strong proficiency in short-term support identification but notable vulnerabilities in managing long-term macro trend shifts.
Calls found
29
Resolved calls
29
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Calls (29)
Predicted that Bitcoin would experience a sharp decline immediately prior to the global asset sell-off.
Bitcoin plummeted from over $9,000 to a local bottom of under $4,000 on March 12-13, 2020.
Highly bullish on the ETH/BTC pair, asserting its two-year bear market had ended and predicting a 935% breakout by Q1 2022.
The pair entered a massive macro uptrend peaking in December 2021, but fell far short of his 935% quantitative target.
Claimed that BTC would not drop below $33,000: 'Bears really want to see it below $30,000. Reality is that it won\'t go below $33,000.'
Although correct in the immediate short-term, BTC broke support to bottom around $28,800 during the summer of 2021.
Target of over $0.97 (trading at $0.39 at the time of prediction).
ADA crossed $1.00 by late February 2021 and topped out near $3.10 in September 2021.
Boldly declared that NOIA would 'never again trade below $0.20 or below 500 sats.'
NOIA collapsed deeply below $0.20 during the 2022 bear market, trading as low as $0.02-$0.03.
Forecasted a massive impending correction, warning that Bitcoin was poised for a severe pullback from its highs near $60,000.
Bitcoin suffered a sharp crash from around $58,000 to below $30,000 within weeks.
Binance Square (Gadgetnad): Il Capo Analyst Claims Bitcoin Price Could Drop 10 to 20 Percent: Who Is He??
Outlined massive cycle peaks for the end of 2021: BTC > $100k, ETH > $10k, and ADA > $10.
Bitcoin peaked at $69,000, Ethereum at $4,891, and Cardano at ~$3.10; none reached his proposed targets.
Bullish projection claiming DOT (then trading around $43) would outperform all majors, targeting $250 and $650.
DOT peaked near $55 days later and entered a multi-year descent, dropping below $5 by late 2022.
Projected a minimum cycle target of $1.70 (trading at $0.55 at the time of prediction).
COTI peaked at $0.68 in November 2021 and subsequently fell into a secular bear market losing over 90% of its value.
Following a correction from the $69,000 all-time high, he tweeted: 'Low timeframe doesn't look bullish yet, but high timeframe remains extremely bullish. This is not the time to sell. Hold is the way.'
Bitcoin failed to recover and entered a brutal multi-year bear market, cascading below $50,000 in December 2021.
BeInCrypto: How Many Times Was Renowned Analyst Crypto Capo Wrong About Bitcoin?
Accurately predicted the macro market peak and subsequent crash, citing impending global interest rate hikes, and advising followers to exit the market around $50,000.
Bitcoin entered a deep, year-long capitulation, losing over 70% of its value throughout 2022.
BitKan: What Is Capo Crypto? What Is Il Capo's Net Worth?
Predicted that Bitcoin (then trading around $27,000 during the Terra/LUNA collapse) would decline to a target range of $21,000-$23,000.
Bitcoin crashed directly through his target range, eventually bottoming near $17,500 in June 2022.
Declared he was '100% out of the market' (in stablecoins) during the FTX panic, expecting altcoins to experience an additional 40-50% drop.
This period actually marked the absolute macro bottom of the cycle (~$16,000). Instead of dropping further, the market began its recovery.
Repeatedly projected that Bitcoin would experience a final capitulation drop down to a target of $12,000 (with possible wicks to $10,000).
Bitcoin never hit $12,000 and steadily climbed throughout 2023, closing the year over $42,000.
Bybit Learn: ILCAPO (CAPO): Meme Token Tribute to 'il Capo of Crypto'
As Bitcoin broke out over $22,000, he claimed the rally was heavily manipulated, lacked genuine spot demand, and was 'the biggest bull trap I've ever seen.' He remained 'short and strong.'
This was the start of a massive macro bull market; Bitcoin never returned to those lows.
Disclosed heavy short positions across Solana, BNB, TRON, and Aave, expecting market capitulation.
Solana (then ~$20) exploded over $200 by 2024, leaving short positions heavily underwater.
Twitter / Binance Square: Analyst Who Predicted 2022 Crypto Collapse Goes On Altcoin Shorting Spree
Breaking months of silence, he reaffirmed his $12,000 target, citing extreme structural weakness and market manipulation.
Bitcoin continued to march higher, pushing past $31,000 in July 2023.
Reddit r/CryptoCurrency: CryptoCapo, who said 'still short and strong' in January and to wait for $12k, breaks his silence after months of invalidations
Warned of an imminent price capitulation, targeting $12,000 for BTC and $500-$800 for ETH.
This period marked a local bottom (~$25k for BTC) before the Q4 2023 parabolic breakout.
Binance Square (Noman Mondul): BTC 12K DROP
Claimed Bitcoin was building a local top at $40,000-$45,000 and that a full reversal to new bear market lows was likely within weeks.
Bitcoin had a brief correction in January 2024 to $38,500 but subsequently broke out to new all-time highs above $73,000 in March 2024.
Flipped temporarily bullish at $40,000 to target $50,000, but predicted a sharp rejection back to $30,000-$35,000 upon reaching $50,000.
Bitcoin blew straight through $50,000 with no resistance, continuing to $73,700.
Watcher.Guru / CryptoRank: Bitcoin (BTC) Could Drop To $30,000 Despite Recent Surge, Here's Why
As Bitcoin suffered a sharp correction below $54,000, he urged investors to maintain cool heads and avoid flipping bearish.
Bitcoin bottomed near $53,500 and initiated a rapid relief recovery back above $60,000.
CryptoPotato: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Predictions: Time for a New Rally or a Further Crash?
Projected one last market shakeout with BTC testing $48k-$50k and ETH plunging to the $1,800-$2,000 range.
ETH did not reach $1,800 (bottomed around $2,300) and BTC held above $60,000 before embarking on a historic rally.
Out of caution, he completely exited his spot exposure expecting a decline before the rise.
Bitcoin broke out aggressively to trade above $93,000, causing him to completely miss the rally.
Cryptonews.net: Il Capo, Who Previously Said There Will Be a Decline in Bitcoin Price, Broke His Silence After a Long Time: Here Are His Latest Comments
Claimed the local bottom was very close (around $76,000) and predicted a strong relief bounce led by altcoins.
TOTAL2 retested key support and bounced cleanly, validating his structural local bottom.
Pintu News: Capo's Latest Analysis: Altcoin Surge Will Outperform Bitcoin!
Predicted Bitcoin would collapse below $100k, potentially halving to $60k-$70k, while heavily shorting altcoins in late May.
Bitcoin remained resilient and rallied, forcing him to admit in mid-July that his shorts were at a loss.
Binance Square: Stunning Prediction! Bitcoin is likely to be halved to $60,000, and altcoins are bleeding profusely! / Trader CryptoCapo: All of my short positions are at a loss
Pointed to support holding at $88,500 and predicted a reclaim of the $100,000 level next.
Bitcoin failed to hold support and crashed below $80,000 to touch a low of $78,159 by January 31, 2026.
Assessed the sudden drop to $78,000 as a 'bear trap' and forecasted an imminent rebound.
Bitcoin stabilized and saw a short-term bounce, but faced further structural selling pressure into February.
Following Bitcoin's Sharp Drop, Analyst il Capo Shares His Initial Comments
Identified technical confluence at $67,000 and predicted a 'strong bounce' / short squeeze.
Bitcoin hit support slightly above $67,000 and staged a robust, rapid recovery.
MEXC News: As the Market Falls, Legendary Analyst il Capo Makes a Very Hot Comment on the Future of Bitcoin Price
Stated he expected a short-term pullback below $80,000.
Bitcoin fell cleanly below $80,000 to trade around $80,210.
Legendary Analyst il Capo Speaks Out Following Today's Drop in Bitcoin Price: "I Warned You"
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